Technology Predictions for 2009
Happy New Year and best wishes for peace and prosperity to everyone!
Here is my attempt to play the Amazing Criswell and offer up some predictions for this new year. Can your heart stand the shocking facts of the true story of 2009 Technology Predictions?
10. Web 3.0 will begin to be used as a standard marketing term. The real question is what will it mean? There is so much potential for tech breakthroughs in software and web technologies, but the reality will likely be less smart technology and more media saturation.
9. Internet-based bartering will take off. With the economically uncertain times, more and more people will turn to internet-based bartering to trade goods and services instead of using cash or credit.
8. Adaptive fuel optimization software will lower fuel consumption by up to 25%. New cars and trucks will benefit from breakthrough fuel optimization algorithms. While this may only see light of day in some prototypes in 2009, it will become standard very quickly.
7. Broadcast Digital TV will be a huge success. It will be so successful that cable and satellite companies will take a huge hit in their market share starting in 2010.
6. Massive neural networks will make breakthroughs in identifying terrorist strongholds. With the help of immense data sets, terrorist strongholds will be sniffed out by using massive neural networks. SETI-type distributed computing will allow ordinary citizens to contribute to the fight against terrorism.
5. Next-generation regulation of pharmaceutical companies. New, progressive restrictions will be placed on how drugs are approved for market and on how intellectual property can be hoarded by pharmaceutical and medical research companies.
4. Super-exponential growth will be seen in solar, wind and geothermal energy industry. ExxonMobil, Chevron and BP are going to miss out on the biggest growth industry since the oil boom.
3. Federal stimulus for organic farming and local food markets. An emphasis on sustainable land use, reduced fuel dependency, and higher quality whole foods will double the number of small, organic farms in five years.
2. Open-source voting software will be adopted by 10 states. After congressional investigations of election-stealing and voter fraud, ten states will adopt open-source voting software by 2010 elections.
1. Carbon emissions reinjection technology will be made standard by adoption of new computer models. The new models will allow accurate determination of stable sites for reinjection of carbon emissions in both ocean and subterranean environments.
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4 Responses to “Technology Predictions for 2009”
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on January 11th, 2009 6:22 am
Crossing my fingers on number no. 4.
on January 12th, 2009 2:03 pm
#10: Web 3.0??? What happened to Web 2.0? Still trying to figure that one out.
#7: I’m not so sure. Some who’ve already switched are finding that some stations that have already begun broadcasting don’t have the same “reach” as their analog signal did (i.e., they lost a channel they had before). This may drive some folks (back) to cable/satellite.
#3: That’d be great but when are the prices on organic goods going to come down so that mainstream America can afford them?
#2:Hmmm…so, to play devil’s advocate here, instead of worrying about programmers of the proprietary voting machines “tampering” with election results, now we can worry about tampering from every Joe, Dick, or Harry from Russia or Tunisia who worked on the source code and left themselves a secret “back door” to hack into later on. Might the transparency of “open source” have its dangers too?
on January 12th, 2009 5:21 pm
#10 – I agree, Web 2.0 is only now beginning to make sense to the general public. But that’s not to say that Shawn’s prediction that another leap forward could soon be on the way!
#9 – I am extremely interested to see what larger social changes will emerge (and then stick, long-term) based on current economic issues. I am hoping the US will move towards a less materialistic, consumerist culture. We’ll see.
#8, #4, #1 – I certainly hope so. I believe Al Gore’s stance that environmentalism will only take off when it becomes cheap and easy for the general public. The past 20 years has proved that efforts sustainable only by folks willing to pay much more for a similar alternative aren’t sustainable. I’m hoping very much that the next 5 years will bring exponential leaps forward in making green choices cheaper and easier to make.
#7 – That would be great. I’ve said for a long time that $100 a month should cover ALL my family’s in-home and mobile communication and entertainment needs. There shouldn’t be digital phone on top of internet on top of an added cost for premium speed connection, on top of 300 cable channels I never watch. Give me a menu and let me pick what I want for $100. If digital broadcast + tivo/dvr will do it, hallelujah.
#6 – I’ve read some interesting articles in Wired about that over the last year. I do wonder when the balance will tip to the point that computerized intelligence will trump human intelligence. (Is it possible we’re already there?)
#5 – I wish that would expand into overall medical care. The US medical and education systems are in such a sorry shape. Here’s hoping we can fix it during our generation.
on January 23rd, 2009 5:48 am
Thanks for the feedback so far!
To be completely honest, I was pretty much BS’ing on the Web 3.0 thing. Those catchy marketing terms that mean almost anything and nothing at the same time are unstoppable.
–Shawn